The Continuing Crisis in Sino-America Relations

TREND #4 The United States and China are running a “superpower marathon” which may last a century. However, both history and China’s recent trajectory suggest that the Sino-American competition is likely to reach its moment of maximum danger during the 2020s. The reason is that China has reached a particularly perilous stage in its life as a rising power. It’s at the point at which it has gained the capability to dramatically disrupt the existing order but recognizes that time is not on its side. What’s the bottom line? America needs a sustainable long-term strategy for managing and winning a protracted global competition. But more urgently, the United States needs a near-term strategy for navigating the danger zone. Most debate...

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